Leon Edwards will try to continue his welterweight division reign when he takes on Belal Muhammad in the main event of UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 on Saturday. The main UFC 304 card is scheduled to begin at 10 p.m. ET from Co-op Live in Manchester, England. Edwards, 32, who was born in Jamaica but resides in England, is coming off a unanimous decision victory over Colby Covington at UFC 296 in Las Vegas. Muhammad, 36, from Chicago, is entering the Octagon for the first time in over a year. He earned a unanimous decision win over Gilbert Burns in his last match at UFC 288 in May 2023.
Edwards is a -205 favorite (risk $205 to win $100), while Muhammad comes back at +170 in the latest UFC 304 odds. The co-main event features an interim heavyweight title bout between Tom Aspinall (-380) and Curtis Blaydes (+300). Before locking in your UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 picks, make sure you see the MMA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine expert Kyle Marley.
Marley won the first-ever “ToutMaster” UFC betting contest sponsored by MMAOddsBreaker and appears regularly on multiple MMA betting and daily Fantasy shows. He watches every single fight for every professional MMA card and does extensive research before each event. Since 2018, $100 bettors who have followed Marley’s picks have returned more than $22,200. Anyone who has followed him is way up.
Now, with UFC 304 in sight, Marley has studied the UFC betting lines from top to bottom and revealed his top UFC 304 picks. Those picks are only available at SportsLine.
UFC 304: Makhachev vs. Poirier preview
Edwards has been a dominant fighter ever since he turned pro in 2011. In his first-ever bout in June 2011, he earned a knockout over Damian Zlotnicki at 2:15 of the first round at Fight UK MMA: Fight UK 4. He has lost just three matches since, and none since Dec. 19, 2015, a unanimous decision to Kamaru Usman at UFC on Fox: dos Anjos vs. Cowboy 2. He later made up for that loss, by defeating Usman to first win the UFC welterweight championship in 2022, but also to defend the title in March 2023.
Since the loss to Usman, Edwards has won 12 of his last 13 matches. The only blemish during that stretch was a no contest against Muhammad in their first match at UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Muhammad in March 2021. In that bout, the action had to be stopped when Muhammad suffered an accidental eye poke. In 26 career matches, Edwards is 22-3-1, including seven wins by knockout, three by submission and 12 by decision. He is now No. 4 in the UFC men’s pound-for-pound rankings.
Muhammad, 36, from Chicago is nicknamed “Remember the Name” after all of the success he has achieved since turning pro in 2012. Covington won his first nine bouts before losing to Alan Jouban by unanimous decision at UFC Fight Night: dos Anjos vs. Alvarez. Despite the loss, he and Jouban were recognized for the Fight of the Night. He rebounded with a knockout win over Augusto Montano in September 2016, and went on to win four of his next six matches.
After losing to Geoff Neal by unanimous decision at UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw in January 2019, he has gone on a roll. He won four consecutive matches, including earning the Performance of the Night with a win by submission over Takashi Sato in September 2019, before running into Edwards the first time. In that match, Muhammad was accidently poked in the eye and could not continue at UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Muhammad in March 2021. He recovered and has now won five more bouts in a row to move his record to 23-3-1. See his full UFC 304 picks at SportsLine.
Top UFC 304 predictions
We’ll reveal one of Marley’s UFC 304 picks here: He is backing Paddy Pimblett (+110) to defeat Bobby Green (-130) in a battle of lightweights on the main card.
Green, 37, who is ranked 15th among UFC lightweights, has won three of his last four bouts. In his last match, he won a unanimous decision over Jim Miller at UFC 300 this past April. He has had a solid career, posting a 32-15 record with one draw and one no contest. He has won 11 of his matches by knockout, nine by submission and 12 by decision.
The 29-year-old Pimblett is a former Cage Warriors featherweight champion. He made his debut in 2012, winning his first four bouts, before losing by submission to Cameron Else in 35 seconds at Cage Warriors 60 in October 2013. He would go on to win the Cage Warriors title in 2016 with a knockout of Johnny Frachey at Cage Warriors 78. He is 5-0 since joining UFC in 2021, and is 21-3 in his career with six knockouts, nine wins by submission and six wins by decision.
“Paddy isn’t a bad striker, but his edge will be on the mat, and he is a dangerous grappler,” Marley told SportsLine. See who else to back at UFC 304 here.
How to make UFC 304 picks
Marley has strong picks for Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 and every other bout on the UFC 304 card. He’s also backing a fighter who “will have the crowd on their side” and emerge with a huge victory. Those picks, along with Marley’s full analysis, are only available at SportsLine.
Who wins UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad, and how exactly does each fight end? Visit SportsLine now to get detailed picks on every fight at UFC 304, all from the seasoned expert who’s up nearly $10,000 on MMA picks, and find out.
UFC 304 odds, fight card
See full UFC 304 picks, predictions, best bets here.
Leon Edwards (-205) vs. Belal Muhammad (+170)
Tom Aspinall (-380) vs. Curtis Blaydes (+300)
Bobby Green (-130) vs. Paddy Pimblett (+110)
Christian Leroy Duncan (-130) vs. Gregory Rodrigues (+110)
Arnold Allen (-250) vs. Giga Chikadze (+205)
Muhammad Mokaev (-130) vs. Manel Kape (+110)
Nathaniel Wood (-500) vs. Daniel Pineda (+380)
Molly McCann (-310) vs. Bruna Brasil (+250)
Caolan Loughran (-195) vs. Jake Hadley (+155)
Michael Parkin (-230) vs. Lukasz Brzeski (+190)
Preston Parsons (-155) vs. Oban Elliott (+130)
Sam Patterson (-360) vs. Kiefer Crosbie (+285)
Modestas Bukauskas (-155) vs. Marcin Prachnio (+130)
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